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Hurricane FABIAN


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HURRICANE FABIAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN AUG 31 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF FABIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  54.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST WED SEP  3 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
19.6N  58.6W      46  X  X  X 46   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  3  3  6
20.5N  60.6W       9 22  1  X 32   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  4  4  8
21.5N  62.5W       X 15 10  1 26   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  1  2  3
TDPR 153N 614W     X  1  X  1  2   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  1  4  5
SVBS 157N 636W     X  X  1  1  2   ST CROIX VI        X  X  3  3  6
TFFR 163N 615W     X  3  2  1  6   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  4  4  8
TAPA 171N 618W     X  6  3  1 10   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  1  4  5
TKPK 173N 627W     X  3  5  1  9   PONCE PR           X  X  1  2  3
TNCM 181N 631W     X  4  6  2 12
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
C FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
D FROM  8PM TUE TO  8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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