| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

---

Hurricane FABIAN (Text)

ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FABIAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SAT AUG 30 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF FABIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  50.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST TUE SEP  2 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
18.6N  54.7W      47  X  X  X 47   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  2  8 10
19.2N  57.1W       7 26  1  X 34   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  X  4  4
20.1N  59.2W       X 16 10  1 27   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  X  6  6
TFFF 146N 610W     X  X  X  2  2   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  X  2  2
TDPR 153N 614W     X  X  1  2  3   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X  3  3
SVBS 157N 636W     X  X  X  2  2   ST CROIX VI        X  X  X  4  4
TFFR 163N 615W     X  X  2  4  6   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  X  6  6
TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  4  5  9   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X  3  3
TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  2  6  8   PONCE PR           X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
C FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
D FROM  8PM MON TO  8PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER HOLWEG/JARVINEN
 
 
NNNN