Hurricane FABIAN

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HURRICANE FABIAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT AUG 30 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF FABIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  47.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST TUE SEP  2 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
18.0N  51.8W      48  X  X  X 48   TFFR 163N 615W     X  X  X  4  4
18.6N  54.0W       6 26  X  X 32   TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  X  6  6
19.2N  56.1W       X 14 11  1 26   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  X  4  4
TDPR 153N 614W     X  X  X  2  2   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  X  5  5
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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