Tropical Storm ERIKA
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TROPICAL STORM ERIKA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SAT AUG 16 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ERIKA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7AM CDT TUE AUG 19 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
25.0N 103.0W 40 X X X 40 MMSO 238N 982W 6 X X X 6
99 X X X 99 BROWNSVILLE TX 99 X X X 99
99 X X X 99
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7AM SUN TO 7PM SUN
C FROM 7PM SUN TO 7AM MON
D FROM 7AM MON TO 7AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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