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Tropical Storm ERIKA


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TROPICAL STORM ERIKA PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SAT AUG 16 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ERIKA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  98.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM CDT TUE AUG 19 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
25.0N 103.0W      40  X  X  X 40   MMSO 238N 982W     6  X  X  X  6
                  99  X  X  X 99   BROWNSVILLE TX    99  X  X  X 99
                  99  X  X  X 99
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM SUN TO  7PM SUN
C FROM  7PM SUN TO  7AM MON
D FROM  7AM MON TO  7AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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