Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Storm ERIKA


ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT SAT AUG 16 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ERIKA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  97.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT TUE AUG 19 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
25.5N 102.0W      41  X  X  X 41   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   2  X  X  X  2
26.0N 104.5W      12 18  X  X 30   BROWNSVILLE TX    99  X  X  X 99
                  99  X  X  X 99   GULF 27N 96W      38  X  X  X 38
MMSO 238N 982W     5  X  X  X  5   GULF 25N 96W      99  X  X  X 99
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM SUN TO  1PM SUN
C FROM  1PM SUN TO  1AM MON
D FROM  1AM MON TO  1AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
NNNN