Tropical Storm ERIKA
ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT SAT AUG 16 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ERIKA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1AM CDT TUE AUG 19 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
25.5N 102.0W 41 X X X 41 CORPUSCHRISTI TX 2 X X X 2
26.0N 104.5W 12 18 X X 30 BROWNSVILLE TX 99 X X X 99
99 X X X 99 GULF 27N 96W 38 X X X 38
MMSO 238N 982W 5 X X X 5 GULF 25N 96W 99 X X X 99
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1AM SUN TO 1PM SUN
C FROM 1PM SUN TO 1AM MON
D FROM 1AM MON TO 1AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
NNNN