Tropical Storm ERIKA

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TROPICAL STORM ERIKA PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT FRI AUG 15 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ERIKA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  95.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT MON AUG 18 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
26.0N 101.0W      39  X  X  X 39   CORPUSCHRISTI TX  29  X  X  X 29
26.0N 104.0W      11 19  X  X 30   BROWNSVILLE TX    80  X  X  X 80
                  99  X  X  X 99   GULF 28N 95W       3  X  X  X  3
MMSO 238N 982W     1  1  X  X  2   GULF 27N 96W      85  X  X  X 85
PORT O CONNOR TX   3  X  X  X  3   GULF 25N 96W      39  X  X  X 39
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM SAT TO  7AM SUN
C FROM  7AM SUN TO  7PM SUN
D FROM  7PM SUN TO  7PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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