Tropical Depression SIX
ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON JUL 21 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST THU JUL 24 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
15.5N 63.5W 50 2 X X 52 MUGM 200N 751W X X 1 22 23
16.6N 67.3W X 34 2 X 36 MUCM 214N 779W X X X 20 20
17.7N 70.8W X 2 24 2 28 MUCF 221N 805W X X X 12 12
TBPB 131N 595W 13 X X X 13 MUSN 216N 826W X X X 5 5
TVSV 131N 612W 8 X X X 8 MUHA 230N 824W X X X 5 5
TLPL 138N 610W 35 X X X 35 TJSJ 184N 661W X 29 2 X 31
TFFF 146N 610W 65 X X X 65 MDPP 198N 707W X X 21 4 25
TDPR 153N 614W 68 X X X 68 MBJT 215N 712W X X 8 9 17
SVBS 157N 636W 49 3 X X 52 MYMM 224N 730W X X 1 14 15
TFFR 163N 615W 59 X X X 59 MYSM 241N 745W X X X 9 9
TAPA 171N 618W 40 1 X X 41 MYEG 235N 758W X X X 14 14
TKPK 173N 627W 36 3 X X 39 MYAK 241N 776W X X X 12 12
TNCM 181N 631W 14 11 X X 25 MYNN 251N 775W X X X 7 7
TISX 177N 648W 7 30 X X 37 MYGF 266N 787W X X X 2 2
TIST 183N 650W 2 28 X X 30 ST CROIX VI 7 30 X X 37
TJPS 180N 666W X 32 2 X 34 ST THOMAS VI 2 28 X X 30
MDSD 185N 697W X 5 24 X 29 SAN JUAN PR X 29 2 X 31
MDCB 176N 714W X 1 23 2 26 PONCE PR X 32 2 X 34
MTPP 186N 724W X X 18 8 26 MARATHON FL X X X 5 5
MTCA 183N 738W X X 8 15 23 MIAMI FL X X X 3 3
MKJP 179N 768W X X X 16 16 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 2 2
MKJS 185N 779W X X X 16 16 KEY WEST FL X X X 4 4
MWCG 193N 814W X X X 6 6 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE
C FROM 2PM TUE TO 2AM WED
D FROM 2AM WED TO 2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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