Tropical Storm DANNY
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TROPICAL STORM DANNY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST THU JUL 17 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF DANNY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST SUN JUL 20 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
38.5N 55.5W 28 X X X 28 PTX BASQUES NFLD X 1 1 1 3
40.5N 52.5W 2 16 2 X 20 BURGEO NFLD X 1 3 1 5
42.0N 49.5W X 5 9 2 16 ILE ST PIERRE X 3 4 2 9
SABLE ISLAND NS X 3 X 1 4 CAPE RACE NFLD X 3 7 2 12
SYDNEY NS X 1 1 X 2 HIBERNIA OILFLD X X 5 6 11
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM FRI TO 8PM FRI
C FROM 8PM FRI TO 8AM SAT
D FROM 8AM SAT TO 8AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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