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Tropical Storm BILL


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TROPICAL STORM BILL PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SUN JUN 29 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  91.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM CDT WED JUL  2 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
26.8N  93.8W      40  X  X  X 40   GALVESTON TX       2 22  1  1 26
28.7N  94.2W       9 18  1  X 28   FREEPORT TX        3 21  1  1 26
30.2N  94.2W       X 17  4  2 23   PORT O CONNOR TX   3 17  1  1 22
APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  2  2   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   2  9  1  2 14
PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  2  2   BROWNSVILLE TX     3  2  X  2  7
PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  5  5   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  4  4
MOBILE AL          X  X  1  6  7   GULF 28N 89W       X  1  3  4  8
GULFPORT MS        X  X  3  6  9   GULF 28N 91W       4  9  2  2 17
BURAS LA           X  1  5  5 11   GULF 28N 93W      20  8  X  1 29
NEW ORLEANS LA     X  2  6  5 13   GULF 28N 95W      17 12  X  1 30
NEW IBERIA LA      X  9  6  3 18   GULF 27N 96W      17  5  1  X 23
PORT ARTHUR TX     X 18  4  1 23   GULF 25N 96W      10  1  1  X 12
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM MON TO  7PM MON
C FROM  7PM MON TO  7AM TUE
D FROM  7AM TUE TO  7AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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