Hurricane PATRICIA
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TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162003
0900Z SAT OCT 25 2003
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 113.5W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 113.5W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 113.5W
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 15.8N 113.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 16.9N 114.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.6N 114.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 18.1N 114.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 18.5N 114.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 20.0N 115.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 113.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z
FORECASTER BEVEN
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