Hurricane PATRICIA

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TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162003
2100Z THU OCT 23 2003
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 112.2W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 112.2W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 111.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 13.6N 113.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.4N 114.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 15.4N 115.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.0N 118.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 18.5N 119.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 19.0N 121.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 112.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN 
 
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