ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA HURRICANE OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152003 1500Z SUN OCT 05 2003 CORRECTED TO ADD ISLAS MARIAS TO HURRICANE WARNING... AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO SAN BLAS...INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST SOUTH OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 104.3W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 104.3W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 104.1W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 18.0N 105.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 18.9N 105.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.8N 106.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 25NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 20.8N 107.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 22.0N 108.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 23.5N 109.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 25.0N 110.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 104.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z FORECASTER BEVEN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:50:27 UTC