ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152003 1500Z SAT OCT 04 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 101.1W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 101.1W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 100.9W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 14.9N 101.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.5N 102.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.0N 102.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.5N 103.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.2N 104.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 17.9N 104.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 18.6N 105.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 101.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z FORECASTER KNABB/STEWART NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:50:26 UTC