Hurricane NORA
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HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003
2100Z SUN OCT 05 2003
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 113.7W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 113.7W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 113.6W
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 20.1N 114.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 20.9N 114.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 21.2N 113.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 21.7N 112.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.5N 111.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 24.5N 108.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 28.5N 106.5W...INLAND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 113.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
FORECASTER BEVEN
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