Hurricane NORA
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HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003
1500Z SUN OCT 05 2003
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 113.5W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 113.5W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 113.3W
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 19.9N 113.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 20.7N 114.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 21.5N 114.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 22.3N 113.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 24.0N 113.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 25.5N 112.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 28.0N 110.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 113.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
FORECASTER BEVEN
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