Hurricane NORA
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HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003
2100Z SAT OCT 04 2003
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 112.3W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 112.3W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 112.0W
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.5N 112.9W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 19.7N 113.7W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 20.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 21.1N 114.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 22.3N 114.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 23.4N 114.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 24.5N 113.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 112.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
FORECASTER KNABB/STEWART
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