Hurricane MARTY
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HURRICANE MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132003
0900Z MON SEP 22 2003
AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE
HURRICANE WARNING ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA NORTHWARD TO MULEGE...AND REPLACED THE HURRICANE WATCH
WITH A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM
TOPOLOBAMPO TO GUAYMAS.
A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM MULEGE
SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO
FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO GUAYMAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM
PUNTA ABREOJOS TO BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST...AND NORTH OF
MULEGE TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE
WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM SOUTH
OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO ALTATA...AND NORTH OF GUAYMAS TO BAHIA KINO. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 109.6W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE 60SE 60SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 125SE 125SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 225SE 150SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 109.6W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 109.6W
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 24.4N 110.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 26.7N 110.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 29.0N 111.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 100SE 100SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 31.0N 111.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 33.0N 111.0W...INLAND...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.6N 109.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
FORECASTER PASCH
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