Hurricane MARTY

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HURRICANE MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132003
0900Z MON SEP 22 2003
 
AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE
HURRICANE WARNING ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA NORTHWARD TO MULEGE...AND REPLACED THE HURRICANE WATCH
WITH A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM
TOPOLOBAMPO TO GUAYMAS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM MULEGE
SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO
FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO GUAYMAS.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM
PUNTA ABREOJOS TO BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST...AND NORTH OF
MULEGE TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA ON THE EAST COAST.  A HURRICANE
WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM SOUTH
OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO ALTATA...AND NORTH OF GUAYMAS TO BAHIA KINO. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 109.6W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 125SE 125SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 225SE 150SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 109.6W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 109.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 24.4N 110.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 26.7N 110.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 29.0N 111.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 100SE 100SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 31.0N 111.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 33.0N 111.0W...INLAND...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.6N 109.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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