Hurricane MARTY

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HURRICANE MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132003
0300Z MON SEP 22 2003
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE
HURRICANE WARNING ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA
NORTHWARD TO LORETO.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
...FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM LORETO
SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE
HURRICANE WATCH ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA
NORTHWARD TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA...AND ON MAINLAND MEXICO
NORTHWARD TO BAHIA KINO.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM
BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA TO LORETO ON THE EAST COAST.  A HURRICANE
WATCH IS ALSO NOW IN EFFECT FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO
BAHIA KINO. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 109.7W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 125SE 125SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 225SE 150SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 109.7W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 109.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.1N 110.2W...NEAR CABO SAN LUCAS
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 25.5N 110.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 27.9N 111.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 29.9N 112.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  10SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 25NE  50SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 32.5N 112.0W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 34.5N 111.5W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED INLAND
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N 109.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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