Hurricane MARTY
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HURRICANE MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132003
0900Z SUN SEP 21 2003
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...FROM
BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM SAN EVARISTO
SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE
REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE WATCH AREA LATER THIS MORNING.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 108.8W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 75SE 125SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 100SE 175SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 108.8W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 108.7W
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 19.8N 109.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 125SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.6N 110.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 23.4N 111.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 25.5N 112.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 28.5N 113.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 30.5N 113.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 32.0N 113.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 108.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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