Hurricane MARTY
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HURRICANE MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132003
0300Z SUN SEP 21 2003
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...FROM
BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM SAN EVARISTO
SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST. THE HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REPLACED BY
A HURRICANE WARNING EARLY SUNDAY.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 108.7W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 150SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 100SE 175SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 108.7W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 108.6W
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.3N 109.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 150SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 20.5N 110.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.5N 111.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 28.0N 113.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 30.5N 114.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 32.0N 114.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 108.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
FORECASTER AVILA/BERG
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