Hurricane JIMENA

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HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102003
2100Z FRI AUG 29 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 137.6W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 137.6W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 136.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 17.5N 139.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT... 75NE  55SE  55SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 17.8N 142.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT... 75NE  55SE  55SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 17.8N 146.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT... 75NE  55SE  55SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 17.8N 149.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.0N 155.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 18.0N 159.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 18.0N 162.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 137.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA/ROBERTS
 
 
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