Tropical Depression NINE-E

ZCZC MIATCMEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092003
2100Z FRI AUG 22 2003
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS UPGRADED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTH OF 24N.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 107.3W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 107.3W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 107.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 21.3N 107.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 22.0N 109.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 22.7N 110.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 23.5N 111.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 65NE  65SE  65SW  65NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 24.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 25.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 25.5N 117.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 107.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/ROBERTS
 
 
NNNN