Tropical Storm GUILLERMO

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072003
1500Z TUE AUG 12 2003
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 139.1W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 139.1W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 138.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 16.5N 141.4W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.7N 144.1W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 16.7N 146.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.7N 149.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 16.7N 152.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 16.5N 155.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 16.5N 159.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 139.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA/BROWN
 
 
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