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Tropical Storm GUILLERMO


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TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072003
0900Z SUN AUG 10 2003
...CORRECTED 72 HR INTENSITY TO 40 KT...
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 126.4W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 126.4W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 125.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 15.6N 128.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 15.7N 130.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 15.8N 133.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 15.9N 135.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.0N 140.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 16.0N 144.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 16.0N 149.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 126.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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