Tropical Storm GUILLERMO

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TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072003
2100Z SAT AUG 09 2003
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 124.0W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 124.0W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 123.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 15.3N 125.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 15.1N 128.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 15.0N 130.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 15.0N 133.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 15.0N 137.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 15.0N 141.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 15.0N 146.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 124.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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