Tropical Depression SEVEN-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072003
2100Z THU AUG 07 2003
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 117.2W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 117.2W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 116.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.5N 118.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 17.5N 120.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 17.5N 121.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 17.5N 123.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.5N 127.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 17.5N 131.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 17.5N 135.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 117.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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