Tropical Storm CARLOS

ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032003
0300Z FRI JUN 27 2003
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF
MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ZIHUATANEJO. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG
THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF CARLOS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N  97.7W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N  97.7W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  97.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.2N  98.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.6N  99.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.0N 100.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.4N 101.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.0N 103.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 19.0N 106.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 20.0N 108.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N  97.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
NNNN