Tropical Storm ANDRES

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TROPICAL STORM ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP012003
1500Z THU MAY 22 2003
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 117.7W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 117.7W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 116.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 11.8N 120.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 12.5N 123.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 13.0N 125.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.0N 128.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.0N 132.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 16.0N 136.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 17.0N 140.0W
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N 117.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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