Tropical Storm MINDY

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION MINDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL182003
0900Z MON OCT 13 2003

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  69.8W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  69.8W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  70.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 25.8N  68.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 25.9N  66.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 26.2N  64.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 26.9N  62.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 29.0N  58.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 30.0N  55.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 30.5N  51.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.7N  69.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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