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Tropical Storm LARRY (Text)


ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA
TROPICAL STORM LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172003
2100Z SAT OCT 04 2003

CORRECTED CENTRAL PRESSURE AND FORWARD SPEED
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM TUXPAN TO CAMPECHE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  93.8W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 180 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  93.8W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  93.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.3N  93.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  10SE  10SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 17.8N  93.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  20SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 17.3N  94.0W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 16.7N  94.3W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 15.9N  94.9W...REMNANT LOW PACIFIC
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 15.0N  96.0W...REMNANT LOW PACIFIC
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 14.5N  97.5W...REMNANT LOW PACIFIC
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N  93.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:50:26 UTC