Tropical Storm LARRY
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TROPICAL STORM LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172003
1500Z FRI OCT 03 2003
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE COAST OF MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ TO CAMPECHE.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 94.6W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 235 DEGREES AT 2 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 25SE 100SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 100SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 150SE 150SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 94.6W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 94.7W
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.7N 94.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 25SE 100SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 100SE 150SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.5N 94.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 19.3N 94.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.0N 94.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 18.5N 94.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 50SE 50SW 125NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 18.0N 95.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 17.5N 95.5W...INLAND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 94.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
FORECASTER BEVEN
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