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Tropical Storm LARRY (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172003
1500Z THU OCT 02 2003

INTERESTS THROUGHOUT THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF LARRY.  TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED ALONG PORTIONS OF
THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  93.5W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE 125SE 125SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 125SE 200SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  93.5W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  93.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 21.0N  93.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 125SE 125SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 21.0N  93.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 125SE 125SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.0N  93.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 125SE 125SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.0N  93.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 125SE 125SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.0N  94.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 125SE 125SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 21.0N  94.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 21.0N  95.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N  93.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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