Hurricane KATE

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HURRICANE KATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162003
1500Z SAT OCT 04 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  53.3W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  962 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......175NE 125SE  75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..800NE 300SE 300SW 500NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  53.3W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  52.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 30.4N  55.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...175NE 125SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 31.7N  56.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...175NE 125SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 33.5N  57.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 37.0N  57.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 47.5N  51.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE  75SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 56.5N  34.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 62.5N   8.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N  53.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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