Hurricane KATE

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HURRICANE KATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162003
2100Z THU OCT 02 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N  45.2W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..525NE 250SE 250SW 600NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N  45.2W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  44.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 29.7N  46.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 29.7N  48.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 30.0N  51.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 30.5N  53.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 33.0N  56.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 37.5N  57.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 45.0N  54.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.8N  45.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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