Hurricane KATE
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TROPICAL STORM KATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162003
0900Z TUE SEP 30 2003
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 34.7W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 50SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 250SE 125SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 34.7W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 34.8W
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 31.9N 34.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 50SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 32.1N 35.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 50SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 32.3N 36.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 60SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 32.4N 38.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 60SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 32.6N 41.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 60SW 130NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 33.5N 45.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 35.0N 50.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.1N 34.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
FORECASTER STEWART
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