Tropical Storm KATE
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TROPICAL STORM KATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162003
0900Z MON SEP 29 2003
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 39.7W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE 75SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 39.7W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 40.1W
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 29.0N 38.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 0SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 30.1N 37.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 0SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 31.0N 37.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 0SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 31.3N 37.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...200NE 100SE 50SW 200NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 31.6N 39.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...200NE 100SE 50SW 200NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 32.5N 41.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 34.0N 44.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.7N 39.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z
FORECASTER STEWART/HOLWEG
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