Tropical Depression SIXTEEN

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162003
1500Z SAT SEP 27 2003
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  43.9W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  43.9W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  43.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 22.0N  44.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 23.9N  45.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 25.3N  45.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 26.8N  44.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 28.8N  42.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 30.1N  40.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 31.8N  39.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N  43.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA/SISKO
 
 
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