Tropical Depression SIXTEEN

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162003
0900Z SAT SEP 27 2003
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  43.2W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  43.2W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  42.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 21.5N  44.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 23.6N  45.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 25.2N  45.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 26.6N  45.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 29.0N  43.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 30.5N  41.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 32.0N  38.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N  43.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART/HOLWEG
 
 
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