Hurricane JUAN

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HURRICANE JUAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152003
2100Z FRI SEP 26 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N  62.2W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......175NE 100SE  50SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 175SE 100SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N  62.2W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.6N  62.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 34.3N  62.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...175NE 100SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 36.5N  63.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...175NE 125SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 39.5N  63.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 42.5N  63.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 54.0N  60.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...175NE 175SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z...ABSORBED BY A LARGE EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.0N  62.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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