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Hurricane ISABEL


ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ISABEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  49
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132003
0900Z THU SEP 18 2003
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
TO CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS...AND THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF SMITH POINT. A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
EASTWARD FROM SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY TO MORICHES INLET NEW YORK.  A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT NORTH OF CHINCOTEAGUE TO
MORICHES INLET...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF CAPE FEAR TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH
CAROLINA...FOR THE CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT NORTHWARD...AND
FOR THE TIDAL POTOMAC.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N  74.7W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  957 MB
EYE DIAMETER  40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT.......100NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
50 KT.......150NE 100SE  80SW 125NW.
34 KT.......300NE 250SE 150SW 250NW.
12 FT SEAS..650NE 500SE 400SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N  74.7W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.5N  74.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 35.0N  76.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
50 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW  95NW.
34 KT...300NE 250SE 150SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 37.9N  78.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...125NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...275NE 250SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 41.4N  78.5W...INLAND BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...225NE 200SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 47.0N  78.0W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 59.5N  72.5W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.0N  74.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:50:23 UTC