ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE ISABEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 45 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132003 0900Z WED SEP 17 2003 AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE THE ATLANTIC COAST OF VIRGINIA TO CHINCOTEAGUE...AND NORTHWARD OVER CHESAPEAKE BAY TO SMITH POINT. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA INCLUDING CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF SMITH POINT. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF SMITH POINT AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE FEAR SOUTHWARD TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SOUTH CAROLINA. AT 5 AM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE NEW JERSEY COAST TO SANDY HOOK. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CHINCOTEAGUE TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY...AND FROM SOUTH OF LITTLE RIVER INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 72.2W AT 17/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 64 KT.......125NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. 50 KT.......150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW. 34 KT.......225NE 200SE 175SW 200NW. 12 FT SEAS..650NE 450SE 400SW 480NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 72.2W AT 17/0900Z AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 72.0W FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 30.8N 73.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT...125NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW. 34 KT...225NE 200SE 175SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 33.0N 74.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT...125NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. 50 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. 34 KT...275NE 175SE 175SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 35.2N 76.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT...125NE 75SE 75SW 50NW. 50 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 75NW. 34 KT...275NE 175SE 175SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 38.2N 78.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...150NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT...275NE 150SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 46.5N 78.5W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 57.5N 69.5W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z...MERGED WITH EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.4N 72.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z FORECASTER BEVEN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:50:23 UTC