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Hurricane ISABEL (Text)

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HURRICANE ISABEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132003
0900Z TUE SEP 16 2003
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC
COAST LATER TODAY.  INTERESTS FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...ALONG THE COAST AND INLAND...SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISABEL.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N  70.7W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  956 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT.......105NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
50 KT.......140NE 125SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT.......175NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..600NE 300SE 300SW 600NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N  70.7W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.3N  70.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 27.6N  71.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT...105NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
50 KT...140NE 125SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 29.0N  72.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT...105NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
50 KT...140NE 125SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 30.7N  73.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT...105NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 33.0N  74.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 38.0N  78.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...150NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...300NE 200SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 45.5N  79.0W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 55.0N  76.0W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.6N  70.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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