Hurricane ISABEL

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HURRICANE ISABEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132003
0900Z SUN SEP 14 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N  65.2W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  938 MB
EYE DIAMETER  40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.
64 KT....... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
50 KT.......100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
34 KT.......175NE 175SE 175SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..325NE 325SE 275SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N  65.2W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N  64.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 23.8N  66.8W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 175SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 24.5N  68.5W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 175SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 25.5N  69.5W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 175SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 26.5N  70.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 175SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 29.0N  72.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
34 KT...225NE 225SE 175SW 200NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 33.1N  75.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 39.5N  77.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N  65.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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