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Hurricane ISABEL


ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ISABEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132003
0900Z FRI SEP 12 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N  57.0W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  921 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT.......100NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 120SE 100SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 250SE 250SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N  57.0W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N  56.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 22.0N  58.4W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
50 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 22.5N  60.5W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
50 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 23.0N  62.5W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
50 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 23.5N  64.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 25.0N  69.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 100SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 26.0N  71.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 27.5N  74.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N  57.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:50:22 UTC