Hurricane ISABEL
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HURRICANE ISABEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132003
0300Z TUE SEP 09 2003
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 44.5W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 75SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 150SE 150SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 44.5W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 44.0W
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.2N 46.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.9N 48.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 20.0N 50.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 20.0N 52.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 20.0N 56.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 20.0N 59.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 21.0N 63.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 44.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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