Hurricane ISABEL
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HURRICANE ISABEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132003
2100Z MON SEP 08 2003
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 43.7W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..170NE 150SE 150SW 170NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 43.7W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 43.1W
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 18.6N 45.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 110SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 19.2N 47.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 19.5N 50.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 130SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 19.5N 52.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 90SW 100NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 140SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 19.5N 55.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 90SW 100NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 140SW 160NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 19.5N 59.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 20.0N 63.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 43.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
FORECASTER STEWART
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