Tropical Depression TWELVE

ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122003
2100Z THU SEP 04 2003
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM ENGLEWOOD NORTHWARD TO INDIAN PASS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N  86.0W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N  86.0W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.8N  86.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 27.9N  85.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  75SE  50SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 28.3N  83.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 28.8N  82.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 25NE  25SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 29.5N  81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 31.5N  79.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 33.5N  76.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 35.5N  72.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.8N  86.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
NNNN