Tropical Depression TWELVE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122003
1500Z THU SEP 04 2003
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM ENGLEWOOD NORTHWARD TO INDIAN PASS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N  87.1W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N  87.1W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.8N  87.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 28.1N  86.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 28.5N  85.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  75SE  50SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 28.9N  83.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  75SE  50SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 29.5N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 25NE  25SE  50SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 31.0N  80.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 33.0N  77.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 35.0N  73.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.9N  87.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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