Hurricane FABIAN

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HURRICANE FABIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  48
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL102003
1500Z MON SEP 08 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 49.8N  39.2W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  34 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE 100SE  75SW  60NW.
50 KT.......125NE 150SE 150SW 100NW.
34 KT.......225NE 300SE 250SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 400SE 375SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 49.8N  39.2W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 48.4N  40.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 53.7N  34.6W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 100SE  75SW  45NW.
34 KT...225NE 300SE 250SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 58.0N  32.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 200SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...225NE 325SE 300SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 59.7N  35.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
50 KT...175NE 100SE   0SW 150NW.
34 KT...225NE 350SE 350SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 58.7N  38.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE 150SW 200NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 175SW 300NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 57.0N  41.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE 300SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z...ABSORBED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 49.8N  39.2W
 
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON FABIAN.
 
FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH
 
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