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Hurricane FABIAN


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HURRICANE FABIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL102003
2100Z SAT SEP 06 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.5N  59.3W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT.......100NE 100SE  60SW  70NW.
50 KT.......150NE 150SE 120SW 110NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 125SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..375NE 375SE 225SW 315NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.5N  59.3W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.0N  60.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 40.0N  56.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 125SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 44.0N  50.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 250SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 47.5N  45.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  50NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 100NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 250SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 51.5N  40.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 125SE 125SW  75NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 300SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 59.0N  30.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 200SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 300SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 60.0N  35.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 58.5N  32.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.5N  59.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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